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Egypt On The Edge [Updated Below]

01 February 2011 @ 18:12

I’ve been following the situation in Egypt today as best as I could, considering I’m working on a big project at work with it’s deadline fast approaching and battling the first of two, back to back snowstorms.  I don’t know if I will have the time to offer any coherent analysis this evening, but please do check out the great coverage and analysis being provided today by Stacy McCain and those he’s been linking to:

-From this morning:

Egyptian Mob Explains That ‘Freedom’ Means ‘We Got to Destroy Israel’

-Also from this morning:

Massive New Protests In Egypt

-From early this afternoon:

‘The Euphoria Is Fading’

-From this afternoon/evening with ongoing updates:

Army Chief Lt. Gen. Sami Enan Likely Mubarak Successor, Says French Report
UPDATE: Mubarak Gives TV Speech, Will Step Aside After September Election

Great coverage, Stacy. Bravo.

UPDATED at 1943…

-Over at Si Vis Pacem, Ran is, shall we say, a bit skeptical about Obama’s [aka: Pharaoh Snafu II of Thieves] stance on the situation.

-In his latest posting/update, Stacy is feeling a bit better about the situation in Egypt:

Strangely enough, after Mubarak’s speech, now I’m trending toward optimism for the first time since this mess began.

He then goes on to quote from his latest posting over at AmSpecBlog, where he explains why.

-Over at The Corner, Michael Walsh captures my thinking [worth quoting at length]:

I hate to quote that old monster Marx, but his famous aphorism about history repeating itself, the first time as tragedy and the second time as farce, is a depressing reality. As usual, the second-rate intellect was ripping off his betters (in this case Hegel, who has a lot to answer for), so the observation about historical repetition wasn’t even original. Anyway, when you look at the course of revolution in the modern era, it’s always the same-old same-old:

•Czar Nicky — Kerensky — Lenin

•Kaiser Willie — Weimar Republic — Hitler

•Shah Pahlavi — Mr. Bani Sadr — Khomeini

Heck, we can even take it one step further:

•Gorbachev — Yeltsin — Putin

In other words, no matter the high intentions and democratic slogans, it always turns out badly in the end, especially in countries with, shall we say, a natural affinity for despotism.

The rebellions sweeping across North Africa and into Jordan may in fact be the stuff of the neocon/Bushian fantasy that all peoples everywhere yearn to be free and that the answer to “Islam is the answer” is Jacksonian democracy. But color me skeptical. Perhaps W.’s policies in Iraq started the winds of change blowing in the Middle East, but aren’t the beneficiaries more likely to be the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist radicals? They have waited and prepared for this moment for decades. Never strong enough by themselves to overthrow an autocrat willing to use blunt force, they needed the social disruption caused by rising food prices, political corruption, an army of unemployed young people, and general misery in order to exploit the “legitimate grievances” of the masses.

-The reality has to be faced that most of the peoples of the non-Western nations are not ready to handle representative government. They are especially not able to handle Democracy, which is the form of government most susceptible of turning Fascist.

What has Democracy gotten us in Iraq? Answer: a pro-Mohammedin regime that can turn into an Iranian-like government in the blink of an eye.

Even semi-Western Russia could not handle it. They should have brought back the Tsar under a constitutional monarchy.

It is the peoples of the Anglosphere who can handle constitutional republics best – the Second and Third world, not so much.

  1. Adobe Walls permalink
    02 February 2011 @ 15:26 15:26

    Would substituting Brigadier General Reginald Dyer for Chinese Gordan have been over the top?

    • bobbelvedere permalink*
      02 February 2011 @ 17:43 17:43

      Adobe: I did not know about the General, but just did some quick reading-up on him. Yeah…it probably would have been a bit over the top, but I must admit I like his style.

      I am reminded of two great bits of wisdon from Sir Charles Napier:

      The best way to quiet a country is a good thrashing, followed by great kindness afterwards. Even the wildest chaps are thus tamed.

      So perverse is mankind that every nationality prefers to be misgoverned by its own people than to be well ruled by another.

      You say that it is your custom to burn widows. Very well. We also have a custom: when men burn a woman alive, we tie a rope around their necks and we hang them. Build your funeral pyre; [then] beside it, my carpenters will build a gallows. You may follow your custom. And then we will follow ours.

  2. Adobe Walls permalink
    02 February 2011 @ 18:02 18:02

    GG will find a way to haunt us mayhaps best to save for a more deserving target.

    • bobbelvedere permalink*
      02 February 2011 @ 19:09 19:09

      Adobe: Agreed.


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